Wycombe Wanderers 1-0 Mansfield Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 26 Nov 2024

📅26/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
3.84
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.25
6+ Goals
9%
11.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.84 — our 25% vs market 21.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.16
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.3
X/1
14%
3.99
X/2
7%
9.72
X/X
9%
5.6
2/1
9%
22.55
2/2
9%
7.34
2/X
10%
15.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-5.0pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.7pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+1.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wycombe Wanderers EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Mansfield Town EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -20%
1.56/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.05
-11% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -99% / +55%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
314 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 71%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
21.9 Crosses 21.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wycombe Wanderers
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Mansfield Town
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
30.12.2017 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 1-2 HT 1-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
12.09.2017 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN2
14.04.2017 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-1 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
24.01.2017 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 1-2 HT 1-0 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İNTK
15.10.2016 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN2
25.03.2016 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 1-0 HT 0-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wycombe Wanderers
1-0
AWAY Mansfield Town
0.47 xG 0.52
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
329 Passes 183
75% Pass Accuracy 61%
28 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wycombe Wanderers vs Mansfield Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wycombe Wanderers nicked a narrow win over Mansfield Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Wycombe Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Wycombe Wanderers had 58% of the ball to Mansfield Town's 42%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 0.47 to 0.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Wycombe Wanderers and 0.83 for Mansfield Town.

What was the final score of Wycombe Wanderers vs Mansfield Town?

Wycombe Wanderers 1-0 Mansfield Town in the England - 1st Division on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wycombe Wanderers vs Mansfield Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wycombe Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Wycombe Wanderers 51%, draw 27%, Mansfield Town 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wycombe Wanderers) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wycombe Wanderers)
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