Bolton Wanderers 2-0 Cambridge United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.78
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.22
6+ Goals
10%
11.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.78 — our 26% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.91
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.2
X/1
14%
3.75
X/2
10%
11.7
X/X
14%
5.69
2/1
8%
22.7
2/2
8%
9.18
2/X
5%
17.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-10.9pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.6pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+7.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.4pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bolton Wanderers EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambridge United EU Bookmakers 20%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.68/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.43
+6% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -14%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
389 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 70%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
18.7 Crosses 16.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bolton Wanderers
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Cambridge United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.35 xG 0.59
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
398 Passes 180
77% Pass Accuracy 62%
26 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.02.2024 Cambridge United Cambridge United 1-2 HT 1-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
10.04.2023 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
12.11.2022 Cambridge United Cambridge United 0-0 HT 0-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
01.02.2022 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 2-0 HT 1-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
28.08.2021 Cambridge United Cambridge United 1-0 HT 1-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
09.03.2021 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 2-1 HT 2-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bolton Wanderers
2-0
AWAY Cambridge United
1.94 xG 0.24
63% Ball Possession 37%
25 Total Shots 5
11 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 1
516 Passes 261
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
37 Box Touches 7
27 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bolton Wanderers vs Cambridge United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolton Wanderers beat Cambridge United 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bolton Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Bolton Wanderers had 63% of the ball to Cambridge United's 37%, shots finished 25-5, expected goals 1.94 to 0.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolton Wanderers had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bolton Wanderers and 0.67 for Cambridge United.

What was the final score of Bolton Wanderers vs Cambridge United?

Bolton Wanderers 2-0 Cambridge United in the England - 1st Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bolton Wanderers vs Cambridge United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bolton Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Bolton Wanderers 50%, draw 26%, Cambridge United 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolton Wanderers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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