Stevenage 1-2 Wigan Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.05
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
38%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.44
Over 2.5
34%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.33
No
61%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
1.9
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
6.22
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.1
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.8
X/1
10%
4.26
X/2
12%
6.81
X/X
14%
3.44
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2 EV+ ✗
20%
6.24
2/X
9%
16.75
Value flag · 2/2 at 6.24 — our 20% vs market 11.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
45%
-10.2pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.2pp
37%
Away Win
25%
+12.4pp
66%
Under 2.5
66%
+0.2pp
34%
Over 2.5
34%
-0.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
39%
+0.2pp
61%
BTTS No
61%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stevenage EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Wigan Athletic EU Bookmakers 29%
-9% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.07/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.25
-36% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
351 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
21.6 Crosses 16.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stevenage
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Wigan Athletic
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.10 xG 0.76
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
212 Passes 331
68% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 6
24.09.2024 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
27.01.2024 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 2-3 HT 2-1 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
07.10.2023 Stevenage Stevenage 1-0 HT 1-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stevenage
1-2
AWAY Wigan Athletic
1.16 xG 1.02
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
304 Passes 157
74% Pass Accuracy 67%
29 Box Touches 7
30 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Stevenage vs Wigan Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wigan Athletic edged past Stevenage 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Wigan Athletic made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stevenage had 64% of the ball to Wigan Athletic's 36%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.16 to 1.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Stevenage had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Stevenage and 0.67 for Wigan Athletic.

What was the final score of Stevenage vs Wigan Athletic?

Stevenage 1-2 Wigan Athletic in the England - 1st Division on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stevenage vs Wigan Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wigan Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Stevenage 34%, draw 28%, Wigan Athletic 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wigan Athletic) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wigan Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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