Wigan Athletic 2-3 Stevenage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
37%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.59
Over 2.5
36%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.99
No
63%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.4
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
4.79
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.77
1/2
5%
30.5
1/X
6%
15.15
X/1
11%
5.85
X/2
9%
4.46
X/X
15%
4.03
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
23%
3.28
2/X
6%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-4.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
46%
-9.7pp
63%
BTTS No
54%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wigan Athletic EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Stevenage EU Bookmakers 45%
+8% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +18%
0.77/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.66
-5% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +56%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
285 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 71%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
17.3 Crosses 16.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wigan Athletic
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Stevenage
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.42 xG 1.89
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
227 Passes 209
65% Pass Accuracy 64%
15 Box Touches 30
19 Crosses 24
10 Yellow Cards 3
07.10.2023 Stevenage Stevenage 1-0 HT 1-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wigan Athletic
2-3
AWAY Stevenage
1.60 xG 1.15
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
363 Passes 180
82% Pass Accuracy 68%
19 Box Touches 21
24 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Wigan Athletic vs Stevenage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stevenage nicked a narrow win over Wigan Athletic 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Stevenage made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wigan Athletic had 62% of the ball to Stevenage's 38%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 1.60 to 1.15 — the balance of chances actually favoured Wigan Athletic.

What was the final score of Wigan Athletic vs Stevenage?

Wigan Athletic 2-3 Stevenage in the England - 1st Division on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wigan Athletic vs Stevenage?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stevenage win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Wigan Athletic 36%, draw 27%, Stevenage 37%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stevenage) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stevenage) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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