Northampton Town 0-2 Shrewsbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.64
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.29
6+ Goals
9%
21.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.47
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
15.1
X/1
20%
3.91
X/2
7%
8.11
X/X
12%
4.33
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
9%
6.78
2/X
7%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
51%
+2.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-0.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.2pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Northampton Town EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Shrewsbury EU Bookmakers 26%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -13%
1.35/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.20
-1% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
300 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 66%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
16.2 Crosses 15.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Northampton Town
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Shrewsbury
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.20 xG 0.98
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
186 Passes 262
59% Pass Accuracy 67%
16 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
07.10.2023 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 1-0 HT 0-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
02.04.2021 Northampton Town Northampton Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
19.09.2020 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 1-2 HT 0-1 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
20.03.2018 Northampton Town Northampton Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
05.08.2017 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 1-0 HT 0-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
17.04.2017 Northampton Town Northampton Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Northampton Town
0-2
AWAY Shrewsbury
0.19 xG 1.58
59% Ball Possession 41%
7 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 5
334 Passes 181
74% Pass Accuracy 60%
10 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Northampton Town vs Shrewsbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shrewsbury beat Northampton Town 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Northampton Town at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Northampton Town had 59% of the ball to Shrewsbury's 41%, shots finished 7-19, expected goals 0.19 to 1.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Northampton Town and 0.83 for Shrewsbury.

What was the final score of Northampton Town vs Shrewsbury?

Northampton Town 0-2 Shrewsbury in the England - 1st Division on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Northampton Town vs Shrewsbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Northampton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Northampton Town 53%, draw 24%, Shrewsbury 22%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Northampton Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Northampton Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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