Reading 1-1 Leyton Orient — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 27 Jan 2024

Reading
1-1 HT 1-1
Leyton Orient
📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Reading vs Leyton Orient Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.16
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.59
6+ Goals
10%
14.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 29% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.84
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1
11%
5.64
X/2
13%
5.39
X/X
13%
4.44
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
19%
3.61
2/X
8%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-2.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+1.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.3pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Reading v Leyton Orient — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reading EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Leyton Orient EU Bookmakers 40%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +18%
1.21/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.07
-23% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +58%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
247 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 71%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
16.7 Crosses 15.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.2

Reading vs Leyton Orient Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reading
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Leyton Orient
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.33 xG 2.15
30% Ball Possession 70%
10 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 11
90 Passes 359
48% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 39
16 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 2-1 HT 1-1 Reading Reading İN1

Reading 1-1 Leyton Orient — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reading
1-1
AWAY Leyton Orient
1.53 xG 1.40
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
260 Passes 263
68% Pass Accuracy 68%
34 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Reading vs Leyton Orient
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reading and Leyton Orient couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Reading had 50% of the ball to Leyton Orient's 50%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.53 to 1.40.

What was the final score of Reading vs Leyton Orient?

Reading 1-1 Leyton Orient in the England - 1st Division on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reading vs Leyton Orient?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leyton Orient win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Reading 34%, draw 28%, Leyton Orient 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Leyton Orient) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leyton Orient) ✓ Under 2.5
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