Leek Town vs Lancaster City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leek Town v Lancaster City — Team-Based Signals
Leek Town vs Lancaster City Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Leek Town 2-1 Lancaster City — Actual Match Statistics
Leek Town edged past Lancaster City 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Leek Town found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Leek Town had 46% of the ball to Lancaster City's 54%, shots finished 8-9.
What was the final score of Leek Town vs Lancaster City?
Leek Town 2-1 Lancaster City in the England - Non League Premier on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leek Town vs Lancaster City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Leek Town win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Leek Town 37%, draw 26%, Lancaster City 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.