Winchester City 1-3 Frome Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.86
Draw
32%
3.8
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
2.18
Over
47%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.6
No Pick
55%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
46%
4-5
16%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
4%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
50%
-11.1pp
32%
Draw
23%
+9.3pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.3pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Winchester City The Market 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Frome Town The Market 31%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.26/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-28% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +64%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Winchester City
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Frome Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
09.11.2024 Frome Town Frome Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Winchester City Winchester City İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Winchester City vs Frome Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Frome Town beat Winchester City 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (39% / 32% / 29%) promised a tight game; Frome Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Winchester City vs Frome Town?

Winchester City 1-3 Frome Town in the England - Non League Premier on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Winchester City vs Frome Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Winchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Winchester City 39%, draw 32%, Frome Town 29%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Winchester City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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