Valencia II 4-2 UD Alzira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.16
No
52%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-8.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
31%
Away Win
22%
+8.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valencia II EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Alzira EU Bookmakers 25%
-8% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +34%
1.24/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.28
-12% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
307 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 63%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valencia II
2W-0D-2L
AWAY UD Alzira
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
08.09.2024 UD Alzira UD Alzira 0-1 HT 0-0 Valencia II Valencia II İS4
09.12.2023 Valencia II Valencia II 1-2 HT 0-0 UD Alzira UD Alzira İS4
26.02.2023 Valencia II Valencia II 3-0 HT 0-0 UD Alzira UD Alzira İS4
09.10.2022 UD Alzira UD Alzira 3-2 HT 1-0 Valencia II Valencia II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valencia II
4-2
AWAY UD Alzira
71% Ball Possession 29%
16 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 0
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Valencia II vs UD Alzira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valencia II beat UD Alzira 4-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Valencia II as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Valencia II had 71% of the ball to UD Alzira's 29%, shots finished 16-3.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Valencia II and 1.25 for UD Alzira.

What was the final score of Valencia II vs UD Alzira?

Valencia II 4-2 UD Alzira in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valencia II vs UD Alzira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valencia II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Valencia II 42%, draw 28%, UD Alzira 31%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valencia II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valencia II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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