SS Reyes 1-0 Mostoles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
23%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
60%
-8.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+7.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.5pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SS Reyes EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Mostoles EU Bookmakers 20%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -15%
2.22/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.94
+35% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SS Reyes
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Mostoles
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 5
08.09.2024 Mostoles 1-1 HT 0-1 SS Reyes SS Reyes İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SS Reyes
1-0
AWAY Mostoles
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH SS Reyes vs Mostoles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SS Reyes nicked a narrow win over Mostoles 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had SS Reyes as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, SS Reyes had 46% of the ball to Mostoles's 54%, shots finished 7-8.

What was the final score of SS Reyes vs Mostoles?

SS Reyes 1-0 Mostoles in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SS Reyes vs Mostoles?

Before kick-off our model rated a SS Reyes win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split SS Reyes 51%, draw 25%, Mostoles 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SS Reyes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SS Reyes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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