Numancia 1-0 Coruxo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.6
Over 2.5
51%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.29
No
53%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
60%
-3.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.5pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
59%
-9.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
41%
+9.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.5pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Numancia EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Coruxo EU Bookmakers 19%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -13%
1.72/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.91
+4% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
286 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Numancia
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Coruxo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
07.09.2024 Coruxo Coruxo 1-2 HT 0-2 Numancia Numancia İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Numancia
1-0
AWAY Coruxo
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 2
6 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Numancia vs Coruxo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Numancia squeezed past Coruxo 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Numancia as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Numancia had 51% of the ball to Coruxo's 49%, shots finished 17-2.

What was the final score of Numancia vs Coruxo?

Numancia 1-0 Coruxo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Numancia vs Coruxo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Numancia win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Numancia 57%, draw 24%, Coruxo 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Numancia), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Numancia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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