Atletico Baleares 1-1 Lleida Esportiu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.67
Draw
27%
2.77
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.52
Over 2.5
35%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.44
No
62%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
34%
+10.1pp
26%
Draw
33%
-6.5pp
29%
Away Win
33%
-3.6pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
37%
+0.6pp
62%
BTTS No
63%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Baleares EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Lleida Esportiu EU Bookmakers 36%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -12%
1.46/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.93
+30% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +20%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
264 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Baleares
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Lleida Esportiu
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
07.09.2024 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu 2-2 HT 0-2 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares İS4
30.03.2014 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares 2-0 HT 1-0 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Baleares
1-1
AWAY Lleida Esportiu
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico Baleares vs Lleida Esportiu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Baleares and Lleida Esportiu couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Baleares at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, Atletico Baleares had 54% of the ball to Lleida Esportiu's 46%, shots finished 10-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Atletico Baleares had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Atletico Baleares and 1.00 for Lleida Esportiu.

What was the final score of Atletico Baleares vs Lleida Esportiu?

Atletico Baleares 1-1 Lleida Esportiu in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Baleares vs Lleida Esportiu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Baleares win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Atletico Baleares 44%, draw 26%, Lleida Esportiu 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletico Baleares), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Baleares) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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