Kaiserslautern 2-1 Ulm 1846 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.31
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.36
6+ Goals
11%
12.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.36 — our 25% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.72
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
12.8
X/1
21%
4.75
X/2
12%
7.45
X/X
11%
4.75
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
24.3
2/2
12%
5.47
2/X
4%
13.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.3 — our 7% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
-0.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.5pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaiserslautern EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulm 1846 EU Bookmakers 30%
-7% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.66/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.21
+2% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
23.0 Crosses 14.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kaiserslautern
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ulm 1846
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.11 xG 0.66
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
279 Passes 277
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2024 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 1-2 HT 0-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kaiserslautern
2-1
AWAY Ulm 1846
1.95 xG 2.04
51% Ball Possession 49%
22 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 5
329 Passes 286
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kaiserslautern vs Ulm 1846
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kaiserslautern squeezed past Ulm 1846 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kaiserslautern as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Kaiserslautern had 51% of the ball to Ulm 1846's 49%, shots finished 22-15, expected goals 1.95 to 2.04.

What was the final score of Kaiserslautern vs Ulm 1846?

Kaiserslautern 2-1 Ulm 1846 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kaiserslautern vs Ulm 1846?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kaiserslautern win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kaiserslautern 47%, draw 25%, Ulm 1846 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kaiserslautern), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kaiserslautern) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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