Preussen Münster 2-1 Greuther Fürth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 18 Jan 2025

Preussen Münster
2-1 HT 1-1
Greuther Fürth
📅18/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Preussen Münster vs Greuther Fürth Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.78
Over 2.5
56%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.97
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.69
6+ Goals
10%
15.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.24
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
8%
12.5
X/1
16%
5.16
X/2 EV+ ✗
19%
6.55
X/X
11%
4.29
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
12%
4.69
2/X
4%
12.95
Value flag · X/2 at 6.55 — our 19% vs market 11.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.8pp
23%
Draw
29%
-5.9pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
52%
-8.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
48%
+8.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.9pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Preussen Münster v Greuther Fürth — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Preussen Münster EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Greuther Fürth EU Bookmakers 33%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +3%
1.15/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.70
-58% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
19.7 Crosses 16.0
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Preussen Münster vs Greuther Fürth Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Preussen Münster
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Greuther Fürth
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
3.31 xG 3.15
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 6
367 Passes 303
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 32
23 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
04.08.2024 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 3-1 HT 1-1 Preussen Münster Preussen Münster AL2

Preussen Münster 2-1 Greuther Fürth — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Preussen Münster
2-1
AWAY Greuther Fürth
0.81 xG 1.07
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
328 Passes 179
79% Pass Accuracy 67%
30 Box Touches 14
35 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Preussen Münster vs Greuther Fürth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Preussen Münster edged past Greuther Fürth 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 23% / 36% — and on the day Preussen Münster made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Preussen Münster had 61% of the ball to Greuther Fürth's 39%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 0.81 to 1.07.

What was the final score of Preussen Münster vs Greuther Fürth?

Preussen Münster 2-1 Greuther Fürth in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Preussen Münster vs Greuther Fürth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Preussen Münster win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Preussen Münster 41%, draw 23%, Greuther Fürth 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Preussen Münster), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Preussen Münster) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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