Arminia Bielefeld 0-2 Energie Cottbus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.96
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
3.18
6+ Goals
11%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.53
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
13%
13.4
X/1
16%
4.62
X/2
9%
7.71
X/X
7%
5.39
2/1
7%
22.1
2/2
10%
5.55
2/X
9%
14.25
Value flag · 1/X at 13.4 — our 13% vs market 4.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.7pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.5pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-0.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.7pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arminia Bielefeld EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Energie Cottbus EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +32%
1.27/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/1.01
-27% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +75% / +61%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
249 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
23.0 Crosses 14.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arminia Bielefeld
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Energie Cottbus
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
251 Passes 236
68% Pass Accuracy 69%
6 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2024 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 1-2 HT 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL3
04.04.2015 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 3-0 HT 2-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL3
28.09.2014 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 1-1 HT 0-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL3
23.03.2014 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 1-3 HT 0-1 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL2
27.09.2013 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 4-2 HT 2-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL2
22.01.2011 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 2-1 HT 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arminia Bielefeld
0-2
AWAY Energie Cottbus
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
438 Passes 263
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arminia Bielefeld vs Energie Cottbus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Energie Cottbus saw off Arminia Bielefeld 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Arminia Bielefeld at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arminia Bielefeld had 60% of the ball to Energie Cottbus's 40%, shots finished 18-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Energie Cottbus led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Arminia Bielefeld and 1.83 for Energie Cottbus.

What was the final score of Arminia Bielefeld vs Energie Cottbus?

Arminia Bielefeld 0-2 Energie Cottbus in the Germany - 3rd Division on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arminia Bielefeld vs Energie Cottbus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arminia Bielefeld win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Arminia Bielefeld 45%, draw 29%, Energie Cottbus 26%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld) ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL3 More Germany - 3rd Division
18 Jan 2025
16:00 Saarbrücken vs 1860 München Analysis →
16:00 Unterhaching vs Borussia Dortmund II Analysis →
16:00 Osnabrück vs Sandhausen Analysis →
16:00 Stuttgart II vs Hansa Rostock Analysis →
18:30 Wehen Wiesbaden vs Verl Analysis →