Unterhaching 1-2 Borussia Dortmund II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.15
Over 2.5
59%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.25
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
25%
3.04
6+ Goals
14%
9.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.32
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
23.4
1/X
9%
12.65
X/1
10%
6.67
X/2
12%
5.34
X/X
10%
5.21
2/1
5%
28.0
2/2
23%
3.06
2/X
6%
12.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.4 — our 7% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-0.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
43%
-2.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
57%
+2.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.5pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Unterhaching EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Borussia Dortmund II EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +1%
1.31/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.28
+1% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 80%
13.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.1 Crosses 13.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Unterhaching
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Borussia Dortmund II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.08.2024 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 3-0 HT 0-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
24.02.2024 Unterhaching Unterhaching 3-4 HT 1-0 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
01.10.2023 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 2-2 HT 2-1 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
12.04.2015 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 1-0 HT 0-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
04.10.2014 Unterhaching Unterhaching 2-0 HT 1-0 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
25.01.2014 Unterhaching Unterhaching 2-1 HT 1-1 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Unterhaching
1-2
AWAY Borussia Dortmund II
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
237 Passes 342
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Unterhaching vs Borussia Dortmund II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Borussia Dortmund II squeezed past Unterhaching 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Borussia Dortmund II as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Unterhaching had 44% of the ball to Borussia Dortmund II's 56%, shots finished 12-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Borussia Dortmund II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Unterhaching and 1.83 for Borussia Dortmund II.

What was the final score of Unterhaching vs Borussia Dortmund II?

Unterhaching 1-2 Borussia Dortmund II in the Germany - 3rd Division on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Unterhaching vs Borussia Dortmund II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Borussia Dortmund II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Unterhaching 33%, draw 25%, Borussia Dortmund II 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Borussia Dortmund II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Borussia Dortmund II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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