Saarbrücken 4-0 1860 München — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.61
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.38
6+ Goals
11%
12.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.19
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.75
X/1
19%
4.16
X/2
6%
9.24
X/X
8%
5.43
2/1
6%
22.1
2/2
13%
7.3
2/X
10%
16.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-4.9pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.8pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saarbrücken EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY 1860 München EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +26%
2.34/2.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.14
-14% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
355 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 73%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
22.0 Crosses 19.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saarbrücken
3W-2D-1L
AWAY 1860 München
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.08.2024 1860 München 1860 München 0-1 HT 0-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
20.04.2024 1860 München 1860 München 1-1 HT 0-1 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
11.11.2023 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 2-3 HT 2-2 1860 München 1860 München AL3
30.04.2023 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 2-0 HT 2-0 1860 München 1860 München AL3
06.11.2022 1860 München 1860 München 0-1 HT 0-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
02.04.2022 1860 München 1860 München 1-1 HT 0-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saarbrücken
4-0
AWAY 1860 München
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
326 Passes 316
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Saarbrücken vs 1860 München
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saarbrücken ran out comfortable winners over 1860 München 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Saarbrücken as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Saarbrücken had 51% of the ball to 1860 München's 49%, shots finished 18-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saarbrücken had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Saarbrücken and 0.83 for 1860 München.

What was the final score of Saarbrücken vs 1860 München?

Saarbrücken 4-0 1860 München in the Germany - 3rd Division on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saarbrücken vs 1860 München?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saarbrücken win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Saarbrücken 51%, draw 24%, 1860 München 25%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saarbrücken), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Saarbrücken) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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