Borussia Dortmund II 3-0 Unterhaching — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.02
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.1
6+ Goals
11%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.44
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.3
X/1
20%
4.42
X/2 EV+ ✗
15%
8.16
X/X
7%
5.23
2/1
8%
22.3
2/2
9%
5.75
2/X
7%
13.75
Value flag · X/2 at 8.16 — our 15% vs market 8.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-3.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.0pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Borussia Dortmund II EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Unterhaching EU Bookmakers 29%
-10% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.24/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.64
-27% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
Crosses 15.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Borussia Dortmund II
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Unterhaching
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
24.02.2024 Unterhaching Unterhaching 3-4 HT 1-0 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
01.10.2023 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 2-2 HT 2-1 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
12.04.2015 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 1-0 HT 0-0 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
04.10.2014 Unterhaching Unterhaching 2-0 HT 1-0 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
25.01.2014 Unterhaching Unterhaching 2-1 HT 1-1 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
09.08.2013 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 4-2 HT 3-1 Unterhaching Unterhaching AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Borussia Dortmund II
3-0
AWAY Unterhaching
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Borussia Dortmund II vs Unterhaching
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Borussia Dortmund II swept aside Unterhaching 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Borussia Dortmund II as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Borussia Dortmund II had 52% of the ball to Unterhaching's 48%, shots finished 11-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Borussia Dortmund II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Borussia Dortmund II and 1.83 for Unterhaching.

What was the final score of Borussia Dortmund II vs Unterhaching?

Borussia Dortmund II 3-0 Unterhaching in the Germany - 3rd Division on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Borussia Dortmund II vs Unterhaching?

Before kick-off our model rated a Borussia Dortmund II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Borussia Dortmund II 46%, draw 24%, Unterhaching 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Borussia Dortmund II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Borussia Dortmund II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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