Verl 2-2 Wehen Wiesbaden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.7
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.28
6+ Goals
12%
11.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.87
1/2
9%
25.5
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
14%
5.75
X/2
14%
5.18
X/X
11%
5.11
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
15%
3.34
2/X
9%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.5pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Verl EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -11%
1.40/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.20
+0% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
Crosses 30.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Verl
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.05.2023 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 2-1 HT 1-1 Verl Verl AL3
12.11.2022 Verl Verl 1-1 HT 0-1 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
30.04.2022 Verl Verl 3-0 HT 2-0 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
27.11.2021 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 0-0 HT 0-0 Verl Verl AL3
23.01.2021 Verl Verl 2-2 HT 1-0 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
19.09.2020 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 0-0 HT 0-0 Verl Verl AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Verl
2-2
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Verl vs Wehen Wiesbaden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Verl and Wehen Wiesbaden couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Verl had 53% of the ball to Wehen Wiesbaden's 47%, shots finished 18-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Verl and 0.83 for Wehen Wiesbaden.

What was the final score of Verl vs Wehen Wiesbaden?

Verl 2-2 Wehen Wiesbaden in the Germany - 3rd Division on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Verl vs Wehen Wiesbaden?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wehen Wiesbaden win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Verl 35%, draw 27%, Wehen Wiesbaden 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wehen Wiesbaden) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wehen Wiesbaden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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