Sandhausen 1-0 Osnabrück — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.77
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.23
6+ Goals
12%
11.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.98
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
16%
4.87
X/2
8%
6.48
X/X
16%
5.06
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
24.45
2/2
18%
4.44
2/X
5%
13.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.45 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.6pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandhausen EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Osnabrück EU Bookmakers 34%
+11% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
2.18/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.47
+37% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
Crosses 14.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sandhausen
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Osnabrück
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.98 xG 0.89
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
344 Passes 218
77% Pass Accuracy 67%
25 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
28.02.2021 Sandhausen Sandhausen 3-0 HT 1-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL2
31.10.2020 Osnabrück Osnabrück 2-1 HT 2-0 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL2
29.01.2020 Osnabrück Osnabrück 1-3 HT 0-1 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL2
02.08.2019 Sandhausen Sandhausen 0-1 HT 0-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL2
28.04.2012 Osnabrück Osnabrück 2-1 HT 0-0 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL3
25.11.2011 Sandhausen Sandhausen 0-0 HT 0-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sandhausen
1-0
AWAY Osnabrück
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sandhausen vs Osnabrück
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandhausen edged past Osnabrück 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Sandhausen made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sandhausen had 48% of the ball to Osnabrück's 52%, shots finished 11-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osnabrück led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sandhausen and 1.00 for Osnabrück.

What was the final score of Sandhausen vs Osnabrück?

Sandhausen 1-0 Osnabrück in the Germany - 3rd Division on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandhausen vs Osnabrück?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sandhausen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sandhausen 40%, draw 28%, Osnabrück 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sandhausen) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sandhausen) ✗ BTTS Yes
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