Hansa Rostock 1-1 Stuttgart II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.72
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
31%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.98
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.12
6+ Goals
9%
10.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.2
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✓
14%
14.8
X/1
9%
4.05
X/2
10%
9.09
X/X
11%
5.63
2/1
7%
21.85
2/2
14%
6.68
2/X
4%
15.3
Value flag · 1/X at 14.8 — our 14% vs market 4.0%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
54%
-13.8pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.9pp
31%
Away Win
22%
+8.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.2pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hansa Rostock EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Stuttgart II EU Bookmakers 25%
-11% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.29/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.75
-28% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
416 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 72%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.0 Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hansa Rostock
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Stuttgart II
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
16.04.2016 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 2-0 HT 1-0 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II AL3
30.10.2015 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II 3-1 HT 0-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL3
08.05.2015 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II 3-2 HT 2-1 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL3
08.11.2014 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 4-1 HT 2-0 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II AL3
24.01.2014 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II 4-1 HT 0-1 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL3
11.08.2013 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 3-1 HT 1-1 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hansa Rostock
1-1
AWAY Stuttgart II
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hansa Rostock vs Stuttgart II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hansa Rostock and Stuttgart II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Hansa Rostock at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Hansa Rostock had 54% of the ball to Stuttgart II's 46%, shots finished 15-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Hansa Rostock and 2.00 for Stuttgart II.

What was the final score of Hansa Rostock vs Stuttgart II?

Hansa Rostock 1-1 Stuttgart II in the Germany - 3rd Division on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hansa Rostock vs Stuttgart II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hansa Rostock win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hansa Rostock 41%, draw 29%, Stuttgart II 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hansa Rostock) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hansa Rostock) ✓ Under 2.5
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