TP Mazembe 4-0 Al Hilal Omdurman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.11
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
5.27
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.98
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
14.55
X/1
11%
4.4
X/2
11%
7.11
X/X
16%
3.63
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
11%
6.19
2/X
4%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
46%
+5.0pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.1pp
25%
Away Win
25%
+0.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.0pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TP Mazembe EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hilal Omdurman EU Bookmakers 29%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-57% / +83% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TP Mazembe
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Hilal Omdurman
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.99 xG 1.20
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
252 Passes 261
70% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2024 Al Hilal Omdurman Al Hilal Omdurman 2-1 HT 1-0 TP Mazembe TP Mazembe CAFŞL
09.04.2021 TP Mazembe TP Mazembe 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Hilal Omdurman Al Hilal Omdurman AŞL
24.02.2021 Al Hilal Omdurman Al Hilal Omdurman 0-0 HT 0-0 TP Mazembe TP Mazembe AŞL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TP Mazembe
4-0
AWAY Al Hilal Omdurman
2.42 xG 0.94
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
286 Passes 276
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 9
15 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH TP Mazembe vs Al Hilal Omdurman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TP Mazembe swept aside Al Hilal Omdurman 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had TP Mazembe as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, TP Mazembe had 50% of the ball to Al Hilal Omdurman's 50%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 2.42 to 0.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for TP Mazembe and 1.00 for Al Hilal Omdurman.

What was the final score of TP Mazembe vs Al Hilal Omdurman?

TP Mazembe 4-0 Al Hilal Omdurman in the CAF Champions League on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TP Mazembe vs Al Hilal Omdurman?

Before kick-off our model rated a TP Mazembe win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split TP Mazembe 50%, draw 24%, Al Hilal Omdurman 25%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (TP Mazembe), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (TP Mazembe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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