MVV Maastricht 5-0 Den Bosch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.36
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
2.73
6+ Goals
10%
7.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.85
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
6%
12.3
X/1
18%
5.23
X/2
12%
7.06
X/X
10%
5.5
2/1
6%
22.1
2/2
17%
4.55
2/X
7%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.7pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.8pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MVV Maastricht EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
1.88/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.40
+43% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
15.3 Crosses 15.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MVV Maastricht
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Den Bosch
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.38 xG 1.74
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
321 Passes 345
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
30.10.2024 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 2-1 HT 1-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOK
23.08.2024 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-1 HT 1-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
23.03.2024 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 1-0 HT 0-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
15.09.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 3-2 HT 0-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
27.01.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 3-3 HT 2-1 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
22.10.2022 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 3-1 HT 2-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MVV Maastricht
5-0
AWAY Den Bosch
2.50 xG 1.82
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
364 Passes 350
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH MVV Maastricht vs Den Bosch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MVV Maastricht swept aside Den Bosch 5-0. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had MVV Maastricht as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, MVV Maastricht had 50% of the ball to Den Bosch's 50%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 2.50 to 1.82.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MVV Maastricht had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for MVV Maastricht and 1.50 for Den Bosch.

What was the final score of MVV Maastricht vs Den Bosch?

MVV Maastricht 5-0 Den Bosch in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MVV Maastricht vs Den Bosch?

Before kick-off our model rated a MVV Maastricht win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split MVV Maastricht 42%, draw 23%, Den Bosch 35%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MVV Maastricht), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (MVV Maastricht) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →