MVV Maastricht vs Den Bosch Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
MVV Maastricht v Den Bosch — Team-Based Signals
MVV Maastricht vs Den Bosch Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 0-0
MVV Maastricht
HOL2
3-3
HT 2-1
MVV Maastricht
HOL2
3-1
HT 2-0
Den Bosch
HOL2
3-1
HT 2-0
MVV Maastricht
HOL2
0-1
HT 0-0
Den Bosch
HOL2
3-1
HT 1-0
Den Bosch
HOL2
MVV Maastricht 1-0 Den Bosch — Actual Match Statistics
MVV Maastricht squeezed past Den Bosch 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 33%) promised a tight game; MVV Maastricht found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, MVV Maastricht had 43% of the ball to Den Bosch's 57%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.94 to 1.29.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Den Bosch led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for MVV Maastricht and 2.00 for Den Bosch.
What was the final score of MVV Maastricht vs Den Bosch?
MVV Maastricht 1-0 Den Bosch in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for MVV Maastricht vs Den Bosch?
Before kick-off our model rated a MVV Maastricht win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split MVV Maastricht 40%, draw 26%, Den Bosch 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MVV Maastricht) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.