MVV Maastricht 2-1 Den Bosch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.33
Over 2.5
60%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.02
2-3 Goals
38%
1.95
4-5 Goals
25%
2.75
6+ Goals
17%
7.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+1.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
39%
+0.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
61%
-0.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.0pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MVV Maastricht EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -52% / -52%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -66%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MVV Maastricht
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Den Bosch
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.18 xG 1.73
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
332 Passes 349
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2024 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-1 HT 1-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
23.03.2024 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 1-0 HT 0-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
15.09.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 3-2 HT 0-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
27.01.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 3-3 HT 2-1 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
22.10.2022 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 3-1 HT 2-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
11.03.2022 Den Bosch Den Bosch 3-1 HT 2-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MVV Maastricht
2-1
AWAY Den Bosch
1.92 xG 1.38
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
339 Passes 314
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH MVV Maastricht vs Den Bosch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MVV Maastricht edged past Den Bosch 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 24% / 40%) promised a tight game; MVV Maastricht found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, MVV Maastricht had 51% of the ball to Den Bosch's 49%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.92 to 1.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for MVV Maastricht and 1.83 for Den Bosch.

What was the final score of MVV Maastricht vs Den Bosch?

MVV Maastricht 2-1 Den Bosch in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MVV Maastricht vs Den Bosch?

Before kick-off our model rated an Den Bosch win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split MVV Maastricht 36%, draw 24%, Den Bosch 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Den Bosch) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Den Bosch) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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