Rijnsburgse Boys 3-1 Roda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
33%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+2.2pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.6pp
33%
Away Win
39%
-5.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.9pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rijnsburgse Boys EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Roda EU Bookmakers 43%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
0.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.59
-100% / -67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -34%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rijnsburgse Boys
3-1
AWAY Roda
0.88 xG 1.76
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
297 Passes 350
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 34
13 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rijnsburgse Boys vs Roda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rijnsburgse Boys got the better of Roda 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Rijnsburgse Boys made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Rijnsburgse Boys had 47% of the ball to Roda's 53%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 0.88 to 1.76 — the balance of chances actually favoured Roda.

What was the final score of Rijnsburgse Boys vs Roda?

Rijnsburgse Boys 3-1 Roda in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rijnsburgse Boys vs Roda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rijnsburgse Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rijnsburgse Boys 38%, draw 29%, Roda 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rijnsburgse Boys), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rijnsburgse Boys) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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