BVV Barendrecht 2-1 NAC Breda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - KNVB Cup, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
5.4
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
49%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
15%
+13.0pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.8pp
49%
Away Win
66%
-16.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BVV Barendrecht EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY NAC Breda EU Bookmakers 70%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/0.54
-6% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -83% / +97%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 22.0
Yellow Cards 2.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BVV Barendrecht
2-1
AWAY NAC Breda
0.65 xG 2.85
35% Ball Possession 65%
13 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
222 Passes 464
73% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 35
14 Crosses 30
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH BVV Barendrecht vs NAC Breda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BVV Barendrecht nicked a narrow win over NAC Breda 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was NAC Breda at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, BVV Barendrecht had 35% of the ball to NAC Breda's 65%, shots finished 13-20, expected goals 0.65 to 2.85 — on chances, NAC Breda could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of BVV Barendrecht vs NAC Breda?

BVV Barendrecht 2-1 NAC Breda in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BVV Barendrecht vs NAC Breda?

Before kick-off our model rated an NAC Breda win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split BVV Barendrecht 28%, draw 23%, NAC Breda 49%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (NAC Breda) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NAC Breda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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