Genemuiden vs Willem II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Genemuiden v Willem II — Team-Based Signals
Genemuiden 2-3 Willem II — Actual Match Statistics
Willem II edged past Genemuiden 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Willem II as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Genemuiden had 27% of the ball to Willem II's 73%, shots finished 6-24, expected goals 0.70 to 3.23 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Willem II's control.
What was the final score of Genemuiden vs Willem II?
Genemuiden 2-3 Willem II in the Netherlands - KNVB Cup on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Genemuiden vs Willem II?
Before kick-off our model rated an Willem II win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Genemuiden 25%, draw 21%, Willem II 54%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Willem II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.