Portadown FC 1-3 Linfield FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.13
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
53%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.68
Over 2.5
38%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.62
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
15%
3.99
6+ Goals
8%
19.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.62 — our 34% vs market 30.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
7.76
1/2
4%
26.0
1/X
7%
16.55
X/1
6%
9.02
X/2
14%
4.07
X/X
15%
4.48
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
36%
2.31
2/X
4%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
21%
-1.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
53%
Away Win
53%
-0.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.9pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 57%
+13% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.08/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.09/1.26
-3% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
356 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portadown FC
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Linfield FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
30.11.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
30.08.2024 Portadown FC Portadown FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
10.03.2024 Linfield FC Linfield FC 3-1 HT 2-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KILK
28.01.2023 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-6 HT 1-2 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
05.11.2022 Portadown FC Portadown FC 0-3 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
14.08.2022 Linfield FC Linfield FC 4-0 HT 1-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Portadown FC vs Linfield FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linfield FC beat Portadown FC 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Linfield FC as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Linfield FC led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Portadown FC and 3.33 for Linfield FC.

What was the final score of Portadown FC vs Linfield FC?

Portadown FC 1-3 Linfield FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portadown FC vs Linfield FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Portadown FC 20%, draw 27%, Linfield FC 53%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Linfield FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KİRL More North Ireland - Premier League
18 Jan 2025
00:00 Glentoran FC vs Larne FC Analysis →
18:00 Cliftonville vs Loughgall FC Analysis →
18:00 Carrick Rangers vs Ballymena United Analysis →
18:00 Coleraine FC vs Crusaders FC Analysis →