Başakşehir FK 2-0 Çaykur Rizespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.75
Over 2.5
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.97
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.68
6+ Goals
11%
15.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.17
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
12.75
X/1
17%
5.06
X/2
8%
6.57
X/X
10%
4.35
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
17%
4.76
2/X
6%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+3.5pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.0pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-4.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+4.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -18%
1.55/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.47
+16% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 79%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
18.7 Crosses 18.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Başakşehir FK
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.65 xG 1.36
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
421 Passes 350
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.08.2024 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-1 HT 1-1 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
21.04.2024 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 2-0 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
02.12.2023 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 3-2 HT 2-2 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
18.02.2022 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 0-2 HT 0-1 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
26.09.2021 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 3-0 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
15.05.2021 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 0-2 HT 0-2 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Başakşehir FK
2-0
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
1.50 xG 1.11
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
242 Passes 337
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
11 Box Touches 14
12 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Başakşehir FK vs Çaykur Rizespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Başakşehir FK got the better of Çaykur Rizespor 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Başakşehir FK as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Başakşehir FK had 43% of the ball to Çaykur Rizespor's 57%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 1.50 to 1.11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Başakşehir FK had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Başakşehir FK and 0.67 for Çaykur Rizespor.

What was the final score of Başakşehir FK vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Başakşehir FK 2-0 Çaykur Rizespor in the Turkey - Super League on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Başakşehir FK vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Başakşehir FK win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Başakşehir FK 46%, draw 23%, Çaykur Rizespor 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Başakşehir FK) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Başakşehir FK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TSL More Turkey - Super League
18 Jan 2025
16:00 Gaziantep FK vs Bodrum FK Analysis →
19:00 Beşiktaş vs Samsunspor Analysis →