Beşiktaş 0-0 Samsunspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.09
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
2.91
6+ Goals
9%
8.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.39
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
15%
4.65
X/2
11%
8.47
X/X
14%
5.42
2/1
6%
21.5
2/2
13%
6.05
2/X
7%
13.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.5 — our 6% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
51%
-8.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.4pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.6pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Samsunspor EU Bookmakers 28%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -13%
1.74/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.27
+5% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
22.2 Crosses 18.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beşiktaş
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Samsunspor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.26 xG 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
303 Passes 266
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 21
10 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2024 Samsunspor Samsunspor 0-2 HT 0-2 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
13.04.2024 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 1-1 HT 1-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
26.11.2023 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-2 HT 1-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
01.04.2012 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0-1 HT 0-0 Samsunspor Samsunspor TSL
18.12.2011 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
12.03.2006 Samsunspor Samsunspor 1-3 HT 1-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Beşiktaş
0-0
AWAY Samsunspor
2.35 xG 0.50
66% Ball Possession 34%
24 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
510 Passes 221
86% Pass Accuracy 71%
38 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Beşiktaş vs Samsunspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beşiktaş and Samsunspor played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Beşiktaş at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Beşiktaş had 66% of the ball to Samsunspor's 34%, shots finished 24-4, expected goals 2.35 to 0.50.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beşiktaş had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Beşiktaş and 0.83 for Samsunspor.

What was the final score of Beşiktaş vs Samsunspor?

Beşiktaş 0-0 Samsunspor in the Turkey - Super League on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beşiktaş vs Samsunspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beşiktaş win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Beşiktaş 42%, draw 28%, Samsunspor 29%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Beşiktaş) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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