Feyenoord 3-4 Sparta Rotterdam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 18 Jan 2026

📅18/01/2026 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.49
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
15%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.51
Over 2.5
64%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
5.35
2-3 Goals
43%
2.01
4-5 Goals
28%
2.63
6+ Goals
13%
6.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.81
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
7%
15.7
X/1
17%
4.27
X/2
6%
12.45
X/X
7%
7.25
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
19.25
2/2
6%
9.12
2/X
5%
17.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.25 — our 12% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
63%
+3.5pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.1pp
15%
Away Win
18%
-2.6pp
36%
Under 2.5
36%
-0.3pp
64%
Over 2.5
64%
+0.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.6pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Feyenoord EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +13%
2.09/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.01
+2% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +18%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
435 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
35.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
19.7 Crosses 14.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Feyenoord
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.28 xG 0.78
63% Ball Possession 37%
21 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
474 Passes 240
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
48 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2025 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 0-4 HT 0-1 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
08.02.2025 Feyenoord Feyenoord 3-0 HT 1-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
25.08.2024 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-1 HT 1-0 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
11.02.2024 Feyenoord Feyenoord 2-0 HT 0-0 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam HOL
20.08.2023 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 2-2 HT 1-0 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
02.04.2023 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 1-3 HT 1-1 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Feyenoord
3-4
AWAY Sparta Rotterdam
1.66 xG 1.60
56% Ball Possession 44%
22 Total Shots 13
12 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 0
414 Passes 306
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
67 Box Touches 20
28 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Feyenoord vs Sparta Rotterdam
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Sparta Rotterdam edged past Feyenoord 4-3 away from home in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 18 Jan 2026. Half-time: 0-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 64% and both teams to score was close to even at 58%.

On the day, Feyenoord had 56% of the ball to Sparta Rotterdam's 44%, shots finished 22-13, expected goals 1.66 to 1.60.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Feyenoord have the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Feyenoord and 0.67 for Sparta Rotterdam.

What was the final score of Feyenoord vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Feyenoord 3-4 Sparta Rotterdam in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 18/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Feyenoord vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Feyenoord win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Feyenoord 66%, draw 19%, Sparta Rotterdam 15%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Feyenoord) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Feyenoord) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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