Heracles 0-2 Twente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 18 Jan 2026

Heracles
0-2 HT 0-1
Twente
📅18/01/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2025/2026

Heracles vs Twente Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.09
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
61%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.23
2-3 Goals
42%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.93
6+ Goals
14%
8.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
9.77
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
21.1
1/X
5%
18.05
X/1
5%
12.35
X/2
24%
4.12
X/X
9%
6.41
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
30%
1.85
2/X
6%
15.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.1 — our 8% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
17%
+2.0pp
20%
Draw
22%
-1.1pp
61%
Away Win
62%
-0.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.1pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Heracles v Twente — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heracles EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Twente EU Bookmakers 66%
+10% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.42/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/1.04
+63% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +35%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 82%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.2
16.0 Crosses 18.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.7

Heracles vs Twente Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heracles
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Twente
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.01 xG 1.54
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
240 Passes 400
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 31
14 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.10.2025 Twente Twente 2-1 HT 0-1 Heracles Heracles HOL
30.03.2025 Heracles Heracles 2-1 HT 1-0 Twente Twente HOL
27.10.2024 Twente Twente 5-0 HT 2-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
31.03.2024 Twente Twente 1-0 HT 0-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
22.10.2023 Heracles Heracles 2-2 HT 0-2 Twente Twente HOL
30.04.2022 Heracles Heracles 1-1 HT 1-1 Twente Twente HOL

Heracles 0-2 Twente — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heracles
0-2
AWAY Twente
0.72 xG 2.53
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
305 Passes 319
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Heracles vs Twente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Twente saw off Heracles 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Twente as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Heracles had 49% of the ball to Twente's 51%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 0.72 to 2.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Twente led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Heracles and 2.00 for Twente.

What was the final score of Heracles vs Twente?

Heracles 0-2 Twente in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 18/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heracles vs Twente?

Before kick-off our model rated an Twente win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Heracles 19%, draw 20%, Twente 61%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Twente) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Twente) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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