Heerenveen 0-2 Groningen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 18 Jan 2026

📅18/01/2026 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
20%
3.28
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.91
Over 2.5
56%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.39
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.39
6+ Goals
11%
12.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.7
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
12.75
X/1
14%
4.82
X/2
15%
7.9
X/X
9%
4.76
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
24.45
2/2
11%
5.82
2/X
5%
13.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.45 — our 12% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-0.7pp
20%
Draw
27%
-6.6pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+7.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.6pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heerenveen EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Groningen EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -27%
1.80/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.48
-10% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
20.6 Crosses 14.8
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heerenveen
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Groningen
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.69 xG 0.62
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
333 Passes 291
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2025 Groningen Groningen 2-1 HT 1-1 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
25.01.2025 Groningen Groningen 1-0 HT 0-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
22.09.2024 Heerenveen Heerenveen 2-1 HT 1-1 Groningen Groningen HOL
19.03.2023 Groningen Groningen 0-2 HT 0-2 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
22.01.2023 Heerenveen Heerenveen 3-1 HT 1-1 Groningen Groningen HOL
10.04.2022 Heerenveen Heerenveen 3-1 HT 1-1 Groningen Groningen HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heerenveen
0-2
AWAY Groningen
1.59 xG 2.03
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
400 Passes 290
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Heerenveen vs Groningen
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Groningen beat Heerenveen 2-0 away from home in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 18 Jan 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 56% and both teams to score was close to even at 56%.

On the day, Heerenveen had 56% of the ball to Groningen's 44%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 1.59 to 2.03.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Heerenveen have the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Heerenveen and 1.00 for Groningen.

What was the final score of Heerenveen vs Groningen?

Heerenveen 0-2 Groningen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 18/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heerenveen vs Groningen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heerenveen win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Heerenveen 47%, draw 20%, Groningen 33%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Heerenveen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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