Volendam 2-1 Utrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 18 Jan 2026

📅18/01/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.69
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
49%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.0
Over 2.5
58%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.7
No
41%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.68
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.19
6+ Goals
11%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.62
1/2
9%
22.7
1/X
6%
14.65
X/1
6%
8.81
X/2
17%
4.55
X/X
9%
5.22
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
35.0
2/2
24%
2.38
2/X
6%
13.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 35.0 — our 10% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
24%
+5.9pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.4pp
49%
Away Win
52%
-2.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
46%
-4.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
54%
+4.5pp
59%
BTTS Yes
55%
+4.4pp
41%
BTTS No
45%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volendam EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Utrecht EU Bookmakers 56%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
1.36/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.16
-22% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +28%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
243 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 448 · 83%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
19.9 Crosses 20.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volendam
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Utrecht
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.09 xG 1.89
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
255 Passes 389
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 34
15 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2025 Utrecht Utrecht 3-1 HT 0-1 Volendam Volendam HOL
04.02.2024 Utrecht Utrecht 4-2 HT 2-1 Volendam Volendam HOL
06.10.2023 Volendam Volendam 1-0 HT 0-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
02.04.2023 Utrecht Utrecht 0-0 HT 0-0 Volendam Volendam HOL
12.11.2022 Volendam Volendam 0-4 HT 0-1 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
22.12.2010 Utrecht Utrecht 1-0 HT 0-0 Volendam Volendam HOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volendam
2-1
AWAY Utrecht
0.48 xG 1.11
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
301 Passes 367
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
9 Box Touches 18
9 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Volendam vs Utrecht
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Volendam edged past Utrecht 2-1 in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 18 Jan 2026. Half-time: 2-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 58% and both teams to score was close to even at 59%.

On the day, Volendam had 45% of the ball to Utrecht's 55%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 0.48 to 1.11.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Utrecht lead the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Volendam and 2.00 for Utrecht.

What was the final score of Volendam vs Utrecht?

Volendam 2-1 Utrecht in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 18/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volendam vs Utrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated an Utrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Volendam 30%, draw 21%, Utrecht 49%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Utrecht) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Utrecht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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