Utrecht 3-1 Volendam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 18 Oct 2025

Utrecht
3-1 HT 0-1
Volendam
📅18/10/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✓
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2025/2026

Utrecht vs Volendam Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.37
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
12%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.05
2-3 Goals
39%
1.96
4-5 Goals
25%
2.65
6+ Goals
14%
6.54
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1.63
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
4%
17.6
X/1
16%
4.01
X/2
4%
15.05
X/X
9%
7.56
2/1 EV+ ✓
11%
19.8
2/2
5%
11.8
2/X
5%
20.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.8 — our 11% vs market 2.6%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
68%
+2.6pp
18%
Draw
18%
-0.5pp
12%
Away Win
14%
-2.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.7pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Utrecht v Volendam — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utrecht EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Volendam EU Bookmakers 17%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
2.09/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/2.09
-17% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
388 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
31.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
24.6 Crosses 15.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5

Utrecht vs Volendam Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utrecht
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Volendam
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.73 xG 1.23
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
381 Passes 245
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
29 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.02.2024 Utrecht Utrecht 4-2 HT 2-1 Volendam Volendam HOL
06.10.2023 Volendam Volendam 1-0 HT 0-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
02.04.2023 Utrecht Utrecht 0-0 HT 0-0 Volendam Volendam HOL
12.11.2022 Volendam Volendam 0-4 HT 0-1 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
22.12.2010 Utrecht Utrecht 1-0 HT 0-0 Volendam Volendam HOK
22.03.2009 Volendam Volendam 0-0 HT 0-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL

Utrecht 3-1 Volendam — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utrecht
3-1
AWAY Volendam
2.54 xG 0.49
58% Ball Possession 42%
22 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 0
422 Passes 295
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
52 Box Touches 10
24 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Utrecht vs Volendam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utrecht beat Volendam 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Utrecht as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Utrecht had 58% of the ball to Volendam's 42%, shots finished 22-3, expected goals 2.54 to 0.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Utrecht had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Utrecht and 0.50 for Volendam.

What was the final score of Utrecht vs Volendam?

Utrecht 3-1 Volendam in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utrecht vs Volendam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Utrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Utrecht 71%, draw 18%, Volendam 12%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Utrecht), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Utrecht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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