NEC Nijmegen 3-3 Twente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
43%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.49
No
41%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.91
4-5 Goals
27%
2.76
6+ Goals
12%
7.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.6
1/2
8%
24.0
1/X
8%
12.5
X/1
13%
6.09
X/2
15%
5.96
X/X
8%
5.6
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
24.45
2/2
20%
3.49
2/X
6%
12.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.45 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.2pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.9pp
43%
Away Win
37%
+6.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
63%
-4.1pp
41%
BTTS No
37%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NEC Nijmegen EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Twente EU Bookmakers 40%
-7% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +14%
1.38/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.29
-3% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 79%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
21.4 Crosses 16.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NEC Nijmegen
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Twente
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.54 xG 2.19
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
362 Passes 416
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 28
24 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.05.2025 Twente Twente 3-2 HT 1-0 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
23.02.2025 Twente Twente 2-0 HT 1-0 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
10.08.2024 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1-2 HT 1-1 Twente Twente HOL
20.01.2024 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1-0 HT 0-0 Twente Twente HOL
11.11.2023 Twente Twente 3-3 HT 1-0 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
12.05.2023 Twente Twente 4-0 HT 1-0 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NEC Nijmegen
3-3
AWAY Twente
0.68 xG 1.98
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
339 Passes 197
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH NEC Nijmegen vs Twente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NEC Nijmegen and Twente shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Twente at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, NEC Nijmegen had 60% of the ball to Twente's 40%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.68 to 1.98.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Twente led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for NEC Nijmegen and 2.33 for Twente.

What was the final score of NEC Nijmegen vs Twente?

NEC Nijmegen 3-3 Twente in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NEC Nijmegen vs Twente?

Before kick-off our model rated an Twente win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split NEC Nijmegen 34%, draw 22%, Twente 43%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Twente) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Twente) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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