Twente vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Twente v NEC Nijmegen — Team-Based Signals
Twente vs NEC Nijmegen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-3
HT 1-0
NEC Nijmegen
HOL
4-0
HT 1-0
NEC Nijmegen
HOL
0-1
HT 0-0
Twente
HOL
Twente 3-2 NEC Nijmegen — Actual Match Statistics
Twente edged past NEC Nijmegen 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Twente as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Twente had 42% of the ball to NEC Nijmegen's 58%, shots finished 15-26, expected goals 1.32 to 3.14 — the balance of chances actually favoured NEC Nijmegen.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Twente had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Twente and 0.83 for NEC Nijmegen.
What was the final score of Twente vs NEC Nijmegen?
Twente 3-2 NEC Nijmegen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 22/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Twente vs NEC Nijmegen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Twente win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Twente 47%, draw 25%, NEC Nijmegen 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Twente), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.