NAC Breda 2-2 PEC Zwolle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
52%
-0.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.0pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NAC Breda EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY PEC Zwolle EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
2.12/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.67
-7% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
24.6 Crosses 13.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NAC Breda
2W-1D-3L
AWAY PEC Zwolle
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.92 xG 1.64
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
283 Passes 414
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 34
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.05.2025 NAC Breda NAC Breda 1-3 HT 0-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
20.10.2024 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-2 HT 0-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL
17.03.2023 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 2-0 HT 0-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL2
19.11.2022 NAC Breda NAC Breda 0-2 HT 0-2 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL2
19.01.2022 NAC Breda NAC Breda 2-1 HT 1-1 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOK
15.05.2019 NAC Breda NAC Breda 0-0 HT 0-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NAC Breda
2-2
AWAY PEC Zwolle
2.48 xG 1.38
46% Ball Possession 54%
19 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
362 Passes 432
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
30 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH NAC Breda vs PEC Zwolle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NAC Breda and PEC Zwolle shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was NAC Breda at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, NAC Breda had 46% of the ball to PEC Zwolle's 54%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 2.48 to 1.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PEC Zwolle led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for NAC Breda and 1.50 for PEC Zwolle.

What was the final score of NAC Breda vs PEC Zwolle?

NAC Breda 2-2 PEC Zwolle in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NAC Breda vs PEC Zwolle?

Before kick-off our model rated a NAC Breda win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split NAC Breda 52%, draw 24%, PEC Zwolle 23%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (NAC Breda), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NAC Breda) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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