Atletico Nacional 4-0 Boyaca Chico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 18 Jan 2026

📅18/01/2026 · 🕒02:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
79%
1.27
Draw
13%
5.24
Away
8%
9.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.11
Over
59%
1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.17
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
45%
4-5
27%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
52%
1/2
1%
1/X
2%
X/1
24%
X/2
3%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Atletico Nacional The Market 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Boyaca Chico The Market 10%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.31 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.55
0.75 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.33
Strong Attack Strength Weak
Weak Defense Strength Weak
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
366 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 73%
24 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10
19 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Nacional
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Boyaca Chico
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.81 xG 0.46
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
310 Passes 231
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 9
17 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.04.2025 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 4-1 HT 1-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
17.03.2024 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 2-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
23.10.2023 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 1-3 HT 0-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
08.05.2023 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 3-1 HT 2-1 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
07.02.2021 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 2-0 HT 0-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
12.02.2020 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 0-3 HT 0-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Nacional
4 - 0
AWAY Boyaca Chico
2.01 xG 0.79
60% Ball Possession 40%
25 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
405 Passes 237
90% Pass Accuracy 83%
30 Box Touches 9
23 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Atletico Nacional vs Boyaca Chico
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Atletico Nacional dismantled Boyaca Chico 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Nacional as the likeliest winner at 79%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came home.

Under the surface, Atletico Nacional had 60% of the ball to Boyaca Chico's 40%, shots finished 25-11, expected goals 2.01 to 0.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Atletico Nacional and 0.83 for Boyaca Chico.

Atletico Nacional vs Boyaca Chico Result & Final Score

Atletico Nacional 4 - 0 Boyaca Chico in the Colombia - Primera on 18/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Atletico Nacional vs Boyaca Chico Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split Atletico Nacional 79%, draw 13%, Boyaca Chico 8%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Nacional), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Nacional) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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