Deportivo Pasto vs Independiente Medellin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Deportivo Pasto v Independiente Medellin — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Pasto vs Independiente Medellin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Deportivo Pasto 1-0 Independiente Medellin — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Pasto squeezed past Independiente Medellin 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
We leaned Independiente Medellin at 45% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (62%) came home.
Under the surface, Independiente Medellin saw more of the ball, 57% to 43%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 1.28 to 1.00.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Medellin led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Deportivo Pasto against 0.83 for Independiente Medellin.
Deportivo Pasto vs Independiente Medellin Result & Final Score
Deportivo Pasto 1 - 0 Independiente Medellin in the Colombia - Primera on 18/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Deportivo Pasto vs Independiente Medellin Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 24%, draw 31%, Independiente Medellin 45%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Independiente Medellin) went the other way.