Deportivo Pasto 1-2 Independiente Medellin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 19 Aug 2025

Deportivo Pasto
1 - 2 HT 1 - 0
Independiente Medellin
📅19/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2025

Deportivo Pasto vs Independiente Medellin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.32
Draw
35%
2.89
Away
40%
2.2
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
66%
Over
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.17
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2-3
46%
4-5
14%
6+
2%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
24%
2/1
2%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Deportivo Pasto v Independiente Medellin — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Deportivo Pasto The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Medellin The Market 45%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
0.91 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.17
1.15 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.03
Average Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Weak
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
256 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
13 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15
18 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3

Deportivo Pasto vs Independiente Medellin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pasto
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Independiente Medellin
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.87 xG 0.71
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 7
215 Passes 366
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.03.2025 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
09.09.2024 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 1-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
01.03.2024 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
27.10.2023 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 0-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
18.08.2023 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 3-1 HT 0-1 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOLK
10.08.2023 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 3-1 HT 2-1 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOLK

Deportivo Pasto 1-2 Independiente Medellin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Pasto
1 - 2
AWAY Independiente Medellin
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 4
222 Passes 496
78% Pass Accuracy 88%
REVIEW Deportivo Pasto vs Independiente Medellin
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Independiente Medellin nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Pasto 2-1 on the road. From 1-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.

The model refused to pick a side here (25% / 35% / 40%); Independiente Medellin picked one for it. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (56%) never looked like landing.

By the numbers, Deportivo Pasto had 34% of the ball to Independiente Medellin's 66%, shots finished 9-24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Medellin led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo Pasto and 1.00 for Independiente Medellin.

Deportivo Pasto vs Independiente Medellin Result & Final Score

Deportivo Pasto 1 - 2 Independiente Medellin in the Colombia - Primera on 19/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Deportivo Pasto vs Independiente Medellin Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 25%, draw 35%, Independiente Medellin 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Medellin) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Medellin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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