18/02/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
Mestre vs Treviso Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
58%
Over
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
No Pick
59%
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
41%
4-5
13%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
22%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 59% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
29%
Home Win
32%
37%
Draw
30%
34%
Away Win
38%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mestre v Treviso — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Mestre
The Market 36%
Head to Head
AWAY
Treviso
The Market 42%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-54% /
-54%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
-62%
55%
Ball Possession
45%
12
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
3
339 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
305 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Mestre vs Treviso Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Mestre
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Treviso
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
54%
Ball Possession
46%
10
Total Shots
16
3
Shots on Target
8
6
Corners
6
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Mestre vs Treviso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Mestre nicked a narrow win over Treviso 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 37% / 34% — and on the day Mestre made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.
What was the final score of Mestre vs Treviso?
Mestre 1-0 Treviso in the Italy - Serie D on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mestre vs Treviso?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Mestre 29%, draw 37%, Treviso 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Draw)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İTD
More Italy - Serie D
18 Feb 2024