Roma City 2-2 Matese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
33%
3.72
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
Over
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
38%
4-5
23%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
44%
Home Win
53%
-9.1pp
33%
Draw
23%
+9.8pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roma City The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Matese The Market 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -61%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
352 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roma City
2-2
AWAY Matese
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Roma City vs Matese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roma City and Matese shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Roma City at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Roma City had 57% of the ball to Matese's 43%, shots finished 9-8.

What was the final score of Roma City vs Matese?

Roma City 2-2 Matese in the Italy - Serie D on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roma City vs Matese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roma City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Roma City 44%, draw 33%, Matese 23%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Roma City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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