Tritium vs Castellanzese Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tritium v Castellanzese — Team-Based Signals
Tritium 1-1 Castellanzese — Actual Match Statistics
Tritium and Castellanzese couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 23% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Tritium had 49% of the ball to Castellanzese's 51%, shots finished 9-15.
What was the final score of Tritium vs Castellanzese?
Tritium 1-1 Castellanzese in the Italy - Serie D on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tritium vs Castellanzese?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tritium win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tritium 41%, draw 23%, Castellanzese 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tritium) went the other way.