US Adriese vs Montebelluna Prediction — Model Probabilities
US Adriese 1-2 Montebelluna — Actual Match Statistics
Montebelluna shaded a tight game against US Adriese 2-1 on their travels.
Our pre-match lean was US Adriese at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. For what it's worth, the market was even more convinced — 1.82, about 55% — so the upset beat the price as well as us.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 47% for over 2.5, 51% on both teams scoring.
The match data tells the story: US Adriese had 67% of the ball to Montebelluna's 33%, shots finished 31-5.
US Adriese vs Montebelluna Result & Final Score
US Adriese 1 - 2 Montebelluna in the Italy - Serie D on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
US Adriese vs Montebelluna Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a US Adriese win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split US Adriese 48%, draw 28%, Montebelluna 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (US Adriese), Under 2.5 went the other way.