US Adriese 1-2 Montebelluna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.08
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
32%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
Over
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
38%
4-5
22%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
36%
Home Win
29%
+6.9pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.4pp
32%
Away Win
44%
-11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME US Adriese The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Montebelluna The Market 48%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-19% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
213 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME US Adriese
1-2
AWAY Montebelluna
67% Ball Possession 33%
31 Total Shots 5
14 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 3
POST-MATCH US Adriese vs Montebelluna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montebelluna squeezed past US Adriese 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 32% / 32% — and on the day Montebelluna made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, US Adriese had 67% of the ball to Montebelluna's 33%, shots finished 31-5.

What was the final score of US Adriese vs Montebelluna?

US Adriese 1-2 Montebelluna in the Italy - Serie D on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for US Adriese vs Montebelluna?

Before kick-off our model rated a US Adriese win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split US Adriese 36%, draw 32%, Montebelluna 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (US Adriese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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