Montevarchi Calcio 1-2 Figline — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.45
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
37%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
Over
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1
39%
2-3
38%
4-5
15%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
38%
Home Win
64%
-26.6pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.2pp
37%
Away Win
16%
+21.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montevarchi Calcio The Market 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Figline The Market 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
450 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montevarchi Calcio
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Figline
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
15.10.2023 Figline Figline 0-0 HT 0-0 Montevarchi Calcio İTD
POST-MATCH Montevarchi Calcio vs Figline
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Figline edged past Montevarchi Calcio 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Figline found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Montevarchi Calcio vs Figline?

Montevarchi Calcio 1-2 Figline in the Italy - Serie D on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montevarchi Calcio vs Figline?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montevarchi Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Montevarchi Calcio 38%, draw 25%, Figline 37%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Montevarchi Calcio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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