18/02/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-0
2nd Score
1-0
Pianese vs Sporting Trestina Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No Pick
60%
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
45%
4-5
18%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 60% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
59%
Home Win
65%
24%
Draw
22%
17%
Away Win
13%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pianese v Sporting Trestina — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Pianese
The Market 69%
Head to Head
AWAY
Sporting Trestina
The Market 16%
+32% /
+32%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+21% /
+21%
3.00/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/0.00
+150%
/
-3%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
–
53%
Ball Possession
47%
12
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
4
395 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
281 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Pianese vs Sporting Trestina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Pianese and Sporting Trestina couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
This one beat our numbers. Pianese carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Pianese vs Sporting Trestina?
Pianese 1-1 Sporting Trestina in the Italy - Serie D on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pianese vs Sporting Trestina?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pianese win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Pianese 59%, draw 24%, Sporting Trestina 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pianese), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Pianese)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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İTD
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18 Feb 2024