RG Ticino 1-1 Chieri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
Over
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No Pick
53%
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
48%
4-5
22%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
43%
+2.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RG Ticino The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Chieri The Market 33%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.00
-15% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -60%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
373 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH RG Ticino vs Chieri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RG Ticino and Chieri shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was RG Ticino at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of RG Ticino vs Chieri?

RG Ticino 1-1 Chieri in the Italy - Serie D on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RG Ticino vs Chieri?

Before kick-off our model rated a RG Ticino win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split RG Ticino 46%, draw 25%, Chieri 29%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (RG Ticino) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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