San Donato Tavarnelle 1-2 Sangiovannese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie D, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.32
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
30%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
Over Pick
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
39%
4-5
24%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
37%
Home Win
26%
+11.0pp
33%
Draw
25%
+7.5pp
30%
Away Win
48%
-18.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Donato Tavarnelle The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sangiovannese The Market 53%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
272 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH San Donato Tavarnelle vs Sangiovannese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sangiovannese squeezed past San Donato Tavarnelle 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 33% / 30% — and on the day Sangiovannese made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of San Donato Tavarnelle vs Sangiovannese?

San Donato Tavarnelle 1-2 Sangiovannese in the Italy - Serie D on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Donato Tavarnelle vs Sangiovannese?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Donato Tavarnelle win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split San Donato Tavarnelle 37%, draw 33%, Sangiovannese 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (San Donato Tavarnelle) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Donato Tavarnelle) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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